Saturday, November 10, 2012

Blank On The Map: Does Nate Silver get his maths wrong?

Although I haven't had much time to write anything new for this blog recently, like most people I know I have of course been paying close attention to the unfolding circus of the US Presidential election. Now that all the action is done and dusted, there is a lot of discussion on the internet about the predictions made by poll aggregators, the best-known of whom is the New York Times blogger and statistician Nate Silver. And although I'm not going to talk about politics, I do want to make a comment about probabilities and the statistics of poll aggregation.

Read the rest at Blank On The Map